Longwood vs. UNC Asheville Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 8

Published 3:29 am Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Wednesday’s contest at Joan Perry Brock Center has the Longwood Lancers (12-5, 1-1 Big South) taking on the UNC Asheville Bulldogs (10-5, 1-0 Big South) at 7:00 PM ET (on January 8). Our computer prediction projects a close 78-76 victory for Longwood, so it should be a competitive matchup.

According to our computer prediction, UNC Asheville projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup versus Longwood. The over/under has been set at 155.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Longwood vs. UNC Asheville Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 8, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Farmville, Virginia
  • Venue: Joan Perry Brock Center
  • Line: Longwood -4.5
  • Point total: 155.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Longwood -188, UNC Asheville +152

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Longwood vs. UNC Asheville Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Longwood 78, UNC Asheville 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Longwood vs. UNC Asheville

  • Pick ATS: UNC Asheville (+4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Longwood is 6-8-0 against the spread this season compared to UNC Asheville’s 6-5-0 ATS record. A total of eight out of the Lancers’ games this season have hit the over, and eight of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The two teams combine to score 164.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Longwood is 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 games, while UNC Asheville has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Longwood Performance Insights

  • The Lancers’ +153 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by nine points per game) is a result of scoring 78.2 points per game (111th in college basketball) while allowing 69.2 per contest (123rd in college basketball).
  • Longwood wins the rebound battle by 4.7 boards on average. It records 31.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 241st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.2 per contest.
  • Longwood hits 6 three-pointers per game (331st in college basketball) at a 29.9% rate (322nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 its opponents make while shooting 30.4% from beyond the arc.
  • The Lancers’ 99.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 108th in college basketball, and the 88.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 108th in college basketball.
  • Longwood has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.2 per game (251st in college basketball action) while forcing 15.4 (15th in college basketball).

UNC Asheville Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game (posting 85.9 points per game, 12th in college basketball, and giving up 74.7 per contest, 272nd in college basketball) and have a +169 scoring differential.
  • UNC Asheville grabs 35.6 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball) while allowing 31.7 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.9 boards per game.
  • UNC Asheville makes 8.7 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) while shooting 35% from beyond the arc (120th in college basketball). It is making 1.6 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game at 29.4%.
  • UNC Asheville has come up on top in the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 10.5 (86th in college basketball) while forcing 13 (108th in college basketball).

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