Commanders vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024
A win by the Washington Commanders over the Cleveland Browns is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Commanders sport the 25th-ranked defense this season (25.5 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking third-best with 30.3 points per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Browns are posting 16.5 points per game (27th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (21.8 points allowed per game).
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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Commanders (-3) | Over (43.5) | Commanders 37, Browns 10 |
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Commanders Betting Info
- The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.5% in this game.
- Washington has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
- Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of four times this season.
- The average total for Commanders games this season has been 44.9, 1.4 points higher than the total for this game.
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Browns Betting Info
- The Browns have a 42.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.
- The Browns have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Cleveland games have hit the over just once this year.
- Browns games average 39.5 total points (playoffs included), four fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | 30.3 | 25.5 | 21 | 18 | 33.3 | 28 |
| Browns | 16.5 | 21.8 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16.5 |
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