Based on our computer model, the Washington Commanders will defeat the Atlanta Falcons when they play at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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On offense, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by totaling 28.8 points per game. They rank 19th on defense (23.2 points allowed per game). The Falcons are posting 360.9 total yards per game on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 335.3 total yards per contest (16th-ranked).

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Commanders vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington has put together a 9-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Commanders have covered the spread three times this season (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over 10 out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Commanders games this season.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 39.2%.
• Atlanta has put together a 6-8-1 ATS record so far this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• Atlanta games have hit the over five out of 15 times this year.
• Falcons games average 46 total points, 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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