On Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET, the Washington Commanders will meet the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Commanders will earn a victory — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Commanders have the ninth-ranked defense this season (323.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 375.9 yards per game. The Cowboys have not been getting things done on defense, ranking second-worst with 27.8 points allowed per game. They have been more effective on offense, generating 20.7 points per contest (21st-ranked).

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 75.0%.
• Washington is 10-6-0 ATS this season.
• The Commanders have been favored by 6.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• A total of 11 out of 16 Washington games this season have hit the over.
• Commanders games have had an average of 46.1 points this season, 2.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Cowboys Betting Info

• The Cowboys have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Dallas has covered six times in 16 games with a spread this season.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread once this season (1-3 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
• In Dallas’ 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
• This season, Cowboys games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45.3, which is 1.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

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