VCU vs. Dayton Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 7

Published 3:28 pm Thursday, February 6, 2025

Friday’s contest features the VCU Rams (18-5, 8-2 A-10) and the Dayton Flyers (16-7, 6-4 A-10) facing off at UD Arena in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 72-70 victory for VCU according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 7.

According to our computer prediction, VCU is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) against Dayton. The two sides are expected to go over the 138.5 total.

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VCU vs. Dayton Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 7, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Dayton, Ohio
  • Venue: UD Arena
  • Line: VCU -1.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): VCU -122, Dayton +102

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VCU vs. Dayton Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    VCU 72, Dayton 70

Spread & Total Prediction for VCU vs. Dayton

  • Pick ATS: VCU (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

VCU has a 14-8-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Dayton, who is 11-11-0 ATS. Both the Rams and the Flyers are 13-9-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams average 153.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. VCU is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its past 10 games, while Dayton has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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VCU Performance Insights

  • The Rams outscore opponents by 15.9 points per game (scoring 78.6 points per game to rank 79th in college basketball while allowing 62.7 per contest to rank 12th in college basketball) and have a +366 scoring differential overall.
  • The 35.2 rebounds per game VCU averages rank 46th in the nation, and are 5.5 more than the 29.7 its opponents record per contest.
  • VCU connects on 9.7 three-pointers per game (34th in college basketball) while shooting 33.3% from deep (222nd in college basketball). It is making 4.0 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5.7 per game while shooting 30.3%.
  • The Rams rank 63rd in college basketball by averaging 100.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fifth in college basketball, allowing 80.5 points per 100 possessions.
  • VCU has won the turnover battle by 3.1 turnovers per game, committing 10.9 (134th in college basketball action) while forcing 14.0 (34th in college basketball).

Dayton Performance Insights

  • The Flyers’ +131 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 74.6 points per game (176th in college basketball) while giving up 68.9 per contest (98th in college basketball).
  • Dayton grabs 30.8 rebounds per game (268th in college basketball) while allowing 29.4 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.4 boards per game.
  • Dayton makes 8.0 three-pointers per game (154th in college basketball) at a 35.9% rate (78th in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 its opponents make, shooting 34.1% from deep.
  • Dayton has committed 1.3 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 9.8 (37th in college basketball) while forcing 11.1 (227th in college basketball).

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