Saturday’s contest at UD Arena has the Dayton Flyers (19-9, 9-6 A-10) matching up with the Richmond Spiders (10-19, 5-11 A-10) at 2 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 79-64 victory, as our model heavily favors Dayton.

According to our computer prediction, Dayton projects to cover the 14.5-point spread in its matchup versus Richmond. The total has been set at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Dayton vs. Richmond Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 2 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Dayton, Ohio
• Venue: UD Arena
• Line: Dayton -14.5
• Point total: 137.5
• Moneyline (to win): Dayton -1587, Richmond +860

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Dayton vs. Richmond Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Dayton 79, Richmond 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Dayton vs. Richmond

• Pick ATS: Dayton (-14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)

Dayton has a 13-14-0 record against the spread this season compared to Richmond, who is 9-18-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Flyers are 18-9-0 and the Spiders are 14-13-0. The teams combine to score 142.6 points per game, 5.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Dayton is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Richmond has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Dayton Performance Insights

• The Flyers outscore opponents by 5.3 points per game (scoring 75.4 points per game to rank 138th in college basketball while giving up 70.1 per outing to rank 125th in college basketball) and have a +148 scoring differential overall.
• Dayton ranks 278th in the country at 30.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 29.7 its opponents average.
• Dayton connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (156th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.8. It shoots 35.7% from deep while its opponents hit 33.2% from long range.
• The Flyers record 101.4 points per 100 possessions (55th in college basketball), while allowing 94.3 points per 100 possessions (208th in college basketball).
• Dayton has committed 1.6 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10 (63rd in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (164th in college basketball).

Richmond Performance Insights

• The Spiders have a -147 scoring differential, falling short by five points per game. They’re putting up 67.2 points per game, 332nd in college basketball, and are giving up 72.2 per contest to rank 194th in college basketball.
• Richmond pulls down 28.8 rebounds per game (331st in college basketball) while allowing 32.9 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 4.1 boards per game.
• Richmond makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (164th in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents.
• Richmond and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Spiders commit 9.3 per game (21st in college basketball) and force 10 (311th in college basketball).

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