If you’re seeking best bets for the Tampa Bay Lightning’s upcoming game against the Washington Capitals on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET, then you’ve found the right place. Read on, as we offer our picks and predictions for this showdown.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

Bet on this or any NHL matchup at BetMGM.

Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under of 6 goals 31 times.
• A total of 32 of Washington’s games have finished with over 6 goals this season.
• The total for this game (6) is 1.2 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.57) and Capitals (3.63).
• This game’s over/under is 0.8 more than the 5.2 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

Bet on the total at BetMGM today!

Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

• The Lightning are 28-14 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 28-14 (winning 66.7% of the time).
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 52.6% to win.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

• Washington has 17 wins when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (which has happened 25 times).
• The Capitals have won 17 games with moneyline odds of -109 or longer (in 25 such games).
• Washington has a 52.2% chance to win this matchup (implied from its moneyline odds).

Place your moneyline bet at BetMGM now!

Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov has been important to Tampa Bay’s offense this season, putting up 85 points in 55 games.
• Brandon Hagel is another of Tampa Bay’s top contributors currently with 67 total points (29 goals and 38 assists) to his name.
• With 60 points through 53 games (31 goals and 29 assists), Brayden Point has been an important part of Tampa Bay’s offensive efforts this season.
• In 46 games played this season, Andrei Vasilevskiy (28-15-3) has given up 100 goals.

Capitals Points Leaders

• Dylan Strome is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 59 points (1.0 per game). He has totaled 18 goals and 41 assists in 59 games (playing 17:32 per game).
• Aliaksei Protas’ 50 points this season, including 23 goals and 27 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Washington.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has 14 goals and 35 assists, for a season point total of 49.
• Washington’s Logan Thompson is 25-3-5 this season, amassing 855 saves and permitting 75 goals (2.3 goals against average) with a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league).

Lightning’s Schedule

Looking for officially licensed NHL gear? Fanatics has jerseys, hats, apparel, memorabilia, trading cards, collectibles and more.

Capitals’ Schedule

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.