A victory by the New York Giants over the Washington Commanders is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 15 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked worst in the NFL last season (30.5 points allowed per game), the Commanders put up better results on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th in the NFL by putting up 19.4 points per game. While the Giants’ defense ranked 26th with 23.9 points allowed per game last season, they were less successful on offense, ranking third-worst (15.6 points per game).

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Commanders vs. Giants Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 55.6% chance to win.
• Washington won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing 11 times.
• The Commanders did not cover the spread last season (0-4 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Washington games.
• The over/under for this game is 43.5 points, 0.5 more than the average point total for Commanders games a year ago.

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Giants Betting Info

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 48.8% chance to win.
• New York went 8-8-1 ATS last year.
• The Giants were 8-7-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• New York and its opponent combined to hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
• The over/under for this game is 2.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Giants games last season (40.6).

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Commanders vs. Giants 2023 Scoring Insights

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